Novara vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
28.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
VNZ
4 - 0
NOV
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1959 |
CAG
0 - 0
NOV
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1959 |
NOV
0 - 1
ASS
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1959 |
NOV
1 - 2
ACM
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1959 |
TRI
2 - 0
NOV
68%
20%
13%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
REG
1 - 1
VER
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1959 |
INT
5 - 2
REG
81%
12%
7%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1959 |
VNZ
2 - 0
REG
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1959 |
REG
1 - 1
TOR
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1959 |
FCC
2 - 1
REG
51%
23%
26%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |