Novara vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
CES
3 - 0
NOV
61%
21%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
NOV
0 - 0
CTT
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
PRO
2 - 1
NOV
35%
28%
38%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
NOV
3 - 2
ARZ
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
ASL
1 - 0
NOV
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
ACP
1 - 0
PAD
38%
27%
34%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 1
ACP
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
ACP
2 - 3
ASL
39%
28%
34%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
RIM
2 - 0
ACP
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
ACP
1 - 2
ACL
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |