Novara vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
31.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
UNI
3 - 1
NOV
49%
27%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
NOV
2 - 1
SSM
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
LEC
2 - 3
NOV
39%
29%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
NOV
2 - 2
CTT
29%
28%
43%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
TER
3 - 0
NOV
39%
29%
32%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
ASS
1 - 1
FOL
49%
27%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
USC
0 - 0
ASS
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
UNI
1 - 0
ASS
38%
29%
33%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
ASS
2 - 1
LEC
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
PAG
0 - 0
ASS
34%
28%
38%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |