Novara vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
38.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
PIS
0 - 0
NOV
46%
29%
26%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
NOV
1 - 0
USC
46%
27%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2006 |
USI
1 - 0
NOV
34%
28%
38%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
NOV
3 - 1
ACS
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
VNZ
2 - 0
NOV
60%
24%
17%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2006 |
ASS
0 - 2
SAS
31%
28%
41%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
CTT
1 - 1
ASS
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
ASS
0 - 0
PIS
59%
26%
15%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
ASL
0 - 2
ASS
37%
28%
36%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
ASS
1 - 0
PIS
48%
28%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |