Novara vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
ACL
1 - 1
NOV
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
NOV
0 - 1
PAD
43%
28%
29%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
PIZ
1 - 2
NOV
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2006 |
GEN
1 - 1
NOV
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
NOV
1 - 1
SAL
31%
27%
42%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
ASS
1 - 0
TER
47%
27%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
CTT
0 - 1
ASS
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
ASS
2 - 1
SAL
33%
28%
39%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
SSS
2 - 4
ASS
40%
28%
32%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2006 |
ASS
0 - 1
PRO
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |