Novara vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
29.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
NOV
1 - 1
PAL
50%
29%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
SPA
1 - 1
NOV
64%
24%
13%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
NOV
0 - 1
COM
31%
30%
39%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
SSS
1 - 0
NOV
46%
31%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
LEC
2 - 1
NOV
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
ASS
1 - 0
MOD
59%
26%
15%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
CAG
1 - 1
ASS
67%
22%
11%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
ASS
2 - 0
BRE
53%
29%
18%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
ASS
3 - 0
CAT
53%
29%
18%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
ASC
2 - 0
ASS
59%
26%
15%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |