Novara vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.1%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
24.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
MOD
2 - 1
NOV
53%
27%
21%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
NOV
2 - 0
LAZ
43%
31%
26%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
VER
3 - 0
NOV
53%
28%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
NOV
1 - 1
LEC
52%
28%
21%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
FCC
0 - 0
NOV
60%
25%
16%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
PRG
1 - 1
ASS
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
ASS
1 - 1
MOD
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
LAZ
3 - 0
ASS
51%
28%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
ASS
1 - 0
VER
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
LEC
2 - 3
ASS
55%
26%
20%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |