Novara vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1959 |
TAR
1 - 1
NOV
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
MES
2 - 0
NOV
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
NOV
1 - 1
SSS
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
VER
3 - 1
NOV
64%
20%
16%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
NOV
1 - 1
BRE
67%
19%
14%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1959 |
ASS
1 - 1
CAG
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
ASS
2 - 1
VNZ
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
LEC
1 - 1
ASS
55%
24%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
ASS
1 - 0
ACP
70%
18%
12%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
ASS
4 - 0
PAR
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |