Novara vs AC Marzotto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
ACP
3 - 0
NOV
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
NOV
0 - 0
ASS
63%
22%
16%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
VER
0 - 0
NOV
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
NOV
2 - 1
USF
59%
21%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
NOV
1 - 0
BRE
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
ACM
2 - 0
PAL
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
ACM
1 - 1
MES
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
FCC
4 - 0
ACM
61%
22%
16%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
MAN
3 - 0
ACM
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
ACM
1 - 0
USA
41%
28%
32%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |