Novara vs AC Marzotto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
VNZ
3 - 1
NOV
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1958 |
NOV
1 - 1
MES
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
NOV
5 - 2
PAL
60%
22%
19%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
ASS
1 - 0
NOV
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1958 |
NOV
5 - 0
PAR
69%
19%
13%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1958 |
ACM
1 - 1
BAR
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
ACM
2 - 1
TAR
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
LEC
1 - 1
ACM
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
ACM
6 - 0
SSS
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1958 |
VNZ
1 - 1
ACM
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |