Novara vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1960 |
SSS
0 - 0
NOV
56%
25%
20%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
NOV
1 - 2
COM
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
TAR
1 - 0
NOV
53%
25%
21%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1960 |
TOR
1 - 0
NOV
74%
16%
10%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1959 |
NOV
1 - 0
REG
46%
25%
28%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1960 |
VER
2 - 1
MAN
66%
18%
15%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
FCC
1 - 0
MAN
56%
22%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
MAN
4 - 1
MOD
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 1960 |
MAN
1 - 1
BRE
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1960 |
MES
1 - 0
MAN
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |