Novara vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
MAN
1 - 0
NOV
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
NOV
1 - 0
PIS
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
ACS
2 - 0
NOV
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -2 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
NOV
2 - 3
COM
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
GRO
1 - 0
NOV
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
ACL
2 - 1
PIS
48%
27%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
FIA
1 - 0
ACL
39%
29%
32%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
ACL
2 - 0
ACI
49%
26%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
PAV
1 - 0
ACL
51%
24%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
ACL
2 - 1
FRO
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |