Novara vs AC Legnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
25.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
SSM
1 - 2
NOV
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
NOV
1 - 3
LEC
43%
28%
29%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
CTT
2 - 1
NOV
59%
25%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
NOV
2 - 0
TER
41%
27%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
NOV
2 - 1
PAD
38%
30%
32%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
AC Legnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
UNI
2 - 1
VER
38%
29%
33%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
ASS
3 - 2
UNI
51%
27%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
SSM
1 - 0
UNI
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
UNI
0 - 1
FOL
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
UNI
3 - 0
TER
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +2 |