Novara vs AC Legnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
COM
0 - 2
NOV
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1957 |
NOV
4 - 0
BRE
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
ACM
0 - 0
NOV
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1957 |
NOV
1 - 1
VNZ
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
VER
3 - 1
NOV
47%
25%
29%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
AC Legnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
UNI
1 - 2
PAR
63%
20%
17%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
SSS
2 - 0
UNI
52%
23%
25%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
UNI
1 - 0
PRO
61%
20%
19%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1957 |
MOD
3 - 0
UNI
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
UNI
1 - 1
CAT
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |