Novara vs AC Legnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1952 |
ATL
2 - 0
NOV
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1951 |
PAD
0 - 0
NOV
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
NOV
2 - 2
LAZ
46%
25%
30%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1951 |
INT
3 - 1
NOV
84%
10%
6%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
COM
2 - 2
NOV
52%
22%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AC Legnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1952 |
UNI
1 - 2
COM
60%
19%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1951 |
ACM
4 - 1
UNI
89%
8%
4%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
UNI
2 - 2
ATL
61%
20%
19%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1951 |
TRI
1 - 1
UNI
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
UNI
1 - 0
FIO
50%
23%
27%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |