Novara vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
19.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.9%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
15.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
0
29.6%
17.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
PIS
1 - 0
NOV
45%
30%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
NOV
2 - 0
ATL
35%
32%
33%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 1971 |
NOV
2 - 0
PRG
46%
31%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
REG
1 - 1
NOV
53%
27%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
PAL
0 - 0
NOV
56%
26%
18%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
CES
0 - 1
TAR
54%
28%
18%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
ARZ
2 - 1
CES
45%
32%
23%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
COM
0 - 0
CES
56%
27%
17%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
CES
1 - 0
PAL
46%
30%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
PIS
0 - 0
CES
51%
30%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |