Novara vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
18.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
18%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
NOV
0 - 0
TAR
51%
29%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1970 |
COM
2 - 1
NOV
55%
26%
19%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1970 |
NOV
3 - 0
TER
42%
31%
28%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
BRE
2 - 0
NOV
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1970 |
NOV
0 - 0
CAS
61%
24%
16%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
ARZ
1 - 0
REG
35%
31%
35%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1970 |
TAR
0 - 0
ARZ
52%
28%
20%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1970 |
ARZ
2 - 1
LIV
36%
31%
33%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
TER
1 - 0
ARZ
62%
24%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1970 |
ARZ
1 - 3
ASS
32%
31%
38%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |