Novara vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1967 |
MES
2 - 0
NOV
52%
27%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1967 |
NOV
3 - 1
LIV
52%
27%
21%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1967 |
VER
1 - 0
NOV
50%
29%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1967 |
SAV
3 - 0
NOV
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
NOV
0 - 0
USA
57%
25%
19%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1967 |
ARZ
1 - 0
REG
47%
24%
29%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1967 |
ARZ
3 - 2
SAV
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1967 |
POT
0 - 3
ARZ
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 1967 |
ARZ
2 - 0
SAL
59%
21%
20%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
FCC
1 - 0
ARZ
63%
22%
14%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |