Novaci vs Bregalnica Štip analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.2%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
76%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
11%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novaci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 0
BAS
15%
22%
63%
|
30 | 62 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
TET
0 - 2
NOV
76%
14%
10%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 4
BES
21%
25%
54%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | -3 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
PEL
4 - 0
NOV
83%
13%
5%
|
32 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 0
ARE
17%
22%
61%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | +6 |
Matches
Bregalnica Štip
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BRE
1 - 3
FCS
35%
29%
36%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VOK
2 - 0
BRE
38%
27%
36%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BRE
1 - 0
AKP
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
SHK
2 - 0
BRE
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
BRE
2 - 1
GOS
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |