Novaci vs 11 Oktomvri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novaci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
MIR
8 - 3
NOV
73%
17%
10%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2014 |
NOV
3 - 2
LOK
45%
25%
31%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
FKS
3 - 1
NOV
73%
17%
9%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
NOV
2 - 3
DRI
18%
25%
57%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
FKZ
5 - 2
NOV
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
11 Oktomvri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
11O
2 - 5
VRA
21%
24%
55%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2014 |
FKT
2 - 1
11O
66%
20%
15%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
11O
0 - 2
MIR
28%
27%
45%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
LOK
2 - 4
11O
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
11O
1 - 3
FKS
20%
24%
56%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | -1 |