Nova Venecia vs Vitória ES analysis

Nova Venecia Vitória ES
57 ELO 53
3.4% Tilt -3%
3240º General ELO ranking 2900º
97º Country ELO ranking 85º
ELO win probability
47%
Nova Venecia
22.7%
Draw
30.3%
Vitória ES

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
Nova Venecia
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
30.3%
Win probability
Vitória ES
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nova Venecia
-15%
-17%
Vitória ES

ELO progression

Nova Venecia
Vitória ES
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nova Venecia
Nova Venecia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Mar. 2023
NVE
Nova Venecia
3 - 0
Rio Branco ES
RIO
52%
22%
26%
55 52 3 0
18 Mar. 2023
RIO
Rio Branco ES
2 - 2
Nova Venecia
NVE
33%
23%
44%
55 52 3 0
11 Mar. 2023
POR
Porto Vitória
3 - 2
Nova Venecia
NVE
9%
15%
76%
55 27 28 0
05 Mar. 2023
NVE
Nova Venecia
2 - 0
Desportiva Ferroviária
DES
78%
14%
8%
55 41 14 0
26 Feb. 2023
ITA
Itapemirim
0 - 5
Nova Venecia
NVE
10%
16%
73%
55 33 22 0

Matches

Vitória ES
Vitória ES
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 2023
VIT
Vitória ES
1 - 2
Estrela do Norte
EST
73%
18%
9%
55 41 14 0
20 Mar. 2023
EST
Estrela do Norte
1 - 2
Vitória ES
VIT
14%
21%
65%
55 41 14 0
11 Mar. 2023
ITA
Itapemirim
0 - 5
Vitória ES
VIT
11%
19%
70%
55 32 23 0
04 Mar. 2023
VIT
Vitória ES
2 - 0
Real Noroeste
REA
40%
26%
34%
54 55 1 +1
26 Feb. 2023
VIT
Vitória ES
0 - 1
Rio Branco ES
RIO
50%
24%
26%
54 52 2 0
X