Capixaba Etapas Finales Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Nova Venecia vs Vitória ES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
30.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Venecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
NVE
3 - 0
RIO
52%
22%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
RIO
2 - 2
NVE
33%
23%
44%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
POR
3 - 2
NVE
9%
15%
76%
|
57 | 28 | 29 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
NVE
2 - 0
DES
78%
14%
8%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ITA
0 - 5
NVE
10%
16%
73%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 2
EST
73%
18%
9%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
EST
1 - 2
VIT
14%
21%
65%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ITA
0 - 5
VIT
11%
19%
70%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
VIT
2 - 0
REA
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
VIT
0 - 1
RIO
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |