Nova Venecia vs Serra FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
15.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Venecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
NVE
13%
18%
69%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
NVE
2 - 0
VFC
80%
13%
8%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
NVE
2 - 2
POR
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
POR
2 - 1
NVE
41%
29%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
NVE
44%
28%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Serra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SER
1 - 2
REA
25%
22%
53%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
SER
1 - 0
EST
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
SER
0 - 0
COL
27%
25%
49%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
CAP
0 - 1
SER
7%
14%
79%
|
47 | 13 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
SER
0 - 2
DES
58%
23%
20%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |