Nova Venecia vs Desportiva Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Venecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ITA
0 - 5
NVE
10%
16%
73%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
NVE
2 - 1
VIT
41%
23%
36%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
RIO
2 - 1
NVE
34%
23%
43%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
NVE
0 - 1
REA
46%
23%
31%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
NVE
2 - 1
SER
67%
18%
16%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Desportiva Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
DES
0 - 2
SER
28%
24%
49%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
EST
1 - 1
DES
45%
27%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
DES
2 - 2
VFC
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
POR
4 - 0
DES
13%
19%
69%
|
46 | 10 | 36 | -3 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
REA
0 - 1
DES
68%
20%
11%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |