Nova Mutum vs Londrina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
62.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Mutum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
NME
1 - 3
CUI
10%
22%
69%
|
48 | 77 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CEC
1 - 0
NME
26%
23%
51%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
MIX
1 - 0
NME
13%
19%
68%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
NME
0 - 0
ACA
74%
18%
9%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
LTD
1 - 1
NME
28%
24%
48%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
COT
1 - 0
LON
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LON
1 - 1
GRE
75%
17%
8%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
FOZ
1 - 3
LON
9%
20%
71%
|
65 | 34 | 31 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
IND
1 - 0
LON
12%
21%
67%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
LON
1 - 1
RIO
85%
12%
4%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | 0 |