Nova Mutum vs Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Mutum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
URO
0 - 1
NME
29%
26%
45%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
NME
2 - 0
GOI
37%
29%
35%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
NME
24%
25%
51%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
NME
1 - 1
POR
68%
20%
12%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
GOI
1 - 0
NME
45%
27%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
GAM
0 - 1
BRA
26%
26%
49%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
GAM
1 - 1
POR
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
GOI
2 - 1
GAM
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
GAM
0 - 0
GOI
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
GAM
19%
23%
58%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |