Nova Mutum vs Cuiabá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
68.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
17.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
16%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Mutum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CEC
1 - 0
NME
26%
23%
51%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
MIX
1 - 0
NME
13%
19%
68%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
NME
0 - 0
ACA
74%
18%
9%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
LTD
1 - 1
NME
28%
24%
48%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
NME
1 - 1
SIN
63%
21%
15%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CUI
2 - 1
URO
86%
11%
3%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
CUI
4 - 1
LTD
83%
13%
4%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
DBO
0 - 1
CUI
7%
18%
75%
|
77 | 36 | 41 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
CUI
3 - 0
SIN
87%
11%
2%
|
77 | 37 | 40 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ACA
0 - 3
CUI
6%
16%
78%
|
77 | 24 | 53 | 0 |