Nova Mutum vs Sport Sinop analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Mutum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
LUV
1 - 1
NME
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
MIX
5 - 0
NME
36%
24%
40%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
NME
1 - 0
ACA
55%
24%
22%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LUV
1 - 0
NME
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NME
2 - 2
LUV
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Sinop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
LTD
4 - 0
CSS
77%
16%
8%
|
7 | 50 | 43 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
CSS
1 - 2
LUV
13%
17%
69%
|
8 | 48 | 40 | -1 |