Copa Verde Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Nova Mutum vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
56%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Mutum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 0
NME
59%
21%
21%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 4
NME
14%
19%
67%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
AGU
1 - 3
NME
21%
21%
58%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
NME
0 - 2
UBE
38%
28%
35%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
UBE
1 - 1
NME
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 0
NME
59%
21%
21%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
CUI
0 - 0
BRA
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 0
RIO
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
FER
1 - 0
BRA
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 0
FER
46%
28%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |