Nova Iguaçu vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
67.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
RES
0 - 1
NOV
42%
26%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
VOL
2 - 1
NOV
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
NOV
0 - 0
POR
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
FLU
1 - 3
NOV
86%
11%
3%
|
51 | 81 | 30 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
NOV
2 - 1
BAN
51%
25%
25%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
VAS
1 - 0
BOA
79%
15%
6%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
FLA
2 - 2
VAS
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
VAS
1 - 0
MAD
79%
16%
5%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
VAS
0 - 0
BOT
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 0
VAS
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |