Nova Iguaçu vs São Bernardo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
30.9%
Draw
0-0
14.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.9%
40.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
NOV
50%
28%
22%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 1
OES
31%
29%
40%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
NOV
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 1
PER
57%
25%
18%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 1
PAR
51%
27%
22%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
NOV
50%
28%
22%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
PER
0 - 0
SAO
22%
28%
50%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
CIA
54%
28%
19%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
SAO
3 - 0
OES
43%
29%
28%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAO
33%
31%
36%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |