Nova Iguaçu vs Pérolas Negras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
18%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 1
PAR
51%
27%
22%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 1
NOV
47%
29%
25%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 3
CIA
43%
29%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 0
RES
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
RES
1 - 1
NOV
32%
26%
43%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pérolas Negras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
PER
1 - 1
POR
24%
28%
48%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CIA
2 - 2
PER
54%
28%
19%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
PER
1 - 2
SAN
24%
29%
47%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
PER
2 - 2
OLA
47%
24%
30%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
OLA
1 - 0
PER
26%
24%
50%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |