Nova Iguaçu vs Nova Mutum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
NOV
4 - 0
MAD
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BOA
1 - 0
NOV
23%
24%
53%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 0
VIT
24%
26%
50%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 0
RES
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 1
POR
32%
27%
41%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nova Mutum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
URO
2 - 1
NME
29%
24%
47%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
NME
3 - 0
DBO
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
NME
4 - 2
LON
15%
23%
63%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
NME
1 - 3
CUI
10%
22%
69%
|
48 | 77 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CEC
1 - 0
NME
26%
23%
51%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |