Nova Iguaçu vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 0
AME
34%
27%
40%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2019 |
GOY
1 - 0
NOV
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
AME
1 - 1
NOV
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 2
RES
42%
27%
32%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
AME
2 - 1
NOV
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
MAC
0 - 0
GOY
51%
24%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
AME
0 - 0
MAC
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
MAC
2 - 1
GOY
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
MAC
0 - 2
AME
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
AME
1 - 0
MAC
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |