Nova Iguaçu vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
MAD
0 - 0
NOV
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
NOV
0 - 4
FLA
7%
18%
75%
|
48 | 82 | 34 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
BOA
1 - 1
NOV
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
BOT
1 - 1
NOV
84%
13%
3%
|
47 | 80 | 33 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
BON
2 - 5
NOV
34%
27%
39%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
MAC
0 - 2
BOA
59%
22%
20%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 1
MAC
84%
13%
3%
|
48 | 80 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
FLA
3 - 0
MAC
87%
11%
3%
|
49 | 82 | 33 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
MAC
1 - 2
MAD
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 1
BOT
34%
29%
38%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |