Nova Iguaçu vs Friburguense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
AME
0 - 0
NOV
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
NOV
4 - 0
AME
33%
27%
41%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 2020 |
POR
3 - 2
NOV
39%
27%
34%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 2
AME
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
MAC
2 - 0
NOV
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Friburguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
FRI
2 - 2
AME
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
FRI
1 - 0
AME
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2020 |
FRI
0 - 0
AME
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
MAC
1 - 0
FRI
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
FRI
0 - 2
POR
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -2 |