Nova Iguaçu vs Friburguense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
MAC
0 - 4
NOV
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
AME
0 - 1
NOV
57%
23%
21%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 0
GOY
45%
27%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
NOV
0 - 2
MAC
43%
27%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 0
AME
34%
27%
40%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Friburguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
AME
1 - 2
FRI
54%
23%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
FRI
1 - 1
AME
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2019 |
FRI
1 - 0
GOY
49%
26%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
GOY
0 - 2
FRI
47%
26%
28%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
AME
0 - 1
FRI
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |