Nova Iguaçu vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.3%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
71.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.1%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
TIG
1 - 1
NOV
32%
27%
42%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
DUQ
1 - 2
NOV
13%
21%
66%
|
49 | 6 | 43 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
NOV
0 - 3
AUD
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
VOL
2 - 1
NOV
54%
25%
22%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 1
AME
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
FLU
2 - 1
FRI
86%
10%
4%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
KOL
3 - 2
FLU
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2015 |
FLU
0 - 3
LEV
31%
24%
46%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CRZ
2 - 1
FLU
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
FLU
5 - 2
COR
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |