Série D Brazil Etapas Finales 1/16
Global 3-2
Nova Iguaçu vs CRAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
+3
11.2%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
18.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
10.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
CRA
0 - 1
NOV
21%
27%
52%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
NOV
3 - 0
DEM
76%
18%
6%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SER
1 - 2
NOV
24%
27%
49%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 0
POR
42%
29%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
AUD
0 - 1
NOV
14%
24%
61%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
CRA
0 - 1
NOV
21%
27%
52%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
CRA
0 - 0
MIX
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 0
CRA
65%
22%
13%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
CRA
2 - 0
IPO
60%
24%
17%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
ANA
0 - 0
CRA
53%
28%
19%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |