Nova Iguaçu vs Cianorte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
27.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 0
RES
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
RES
1 - 1
NOV
32%
26%
43%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 1
AUD
56%
25%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
AUD
1 - 2
NOV
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
NOV
3 - 0
MAD
51%
26%
23%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cianorte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
COT
3 - 0
CIA
76%
17%
7%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CIA
0 - 1
COT
11%
21%
68%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
LON
1 - 0
CIA
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
CIA
2 - 0
IND
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
ATP
5 - 1
CIA
80%
15%
5%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | -1 |