Nova Iguaçu vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
61.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
18.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.1%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
9.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
POR
0 - 1
NOV
38%
25%
37%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
NOV
1 - 1
BAN
74%
18%
8%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
NOV
0 - 0
BOA
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
CMA
2 - 0
NOV
20%
23%
57%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2025 |
FLA
1 - 2
NOV
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
BOT
1 - 3
FLA
45%
25%
30%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
BOT
2 - 1
FLU
50%
25%
25%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BOT
2 - 0
BAN
84%
12%
4%
|
87 | 45 | 42 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
BOT
1 - 2
VOL
68%
19%
13%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SAM
2 - 1
BOT
8%
21%
71%
|
87 | 49 | 38 | 0 |