Nova Iguaçu vs Audax Rio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
18.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
NOV
5 - 2
NME
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
NOV
4 - 0
MAD
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BOA
1 - 0
NOV
23%
24%
53%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 0
VIT
24%
26%
50%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 0
RES
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Audax Rio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
RES
0 - 2
AUD
40%
27%
34%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
POR
1 - 1
AUD
62%
23%
16%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
AUD
3 - 1
MAD
44%
26%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
AUD
3 - 2
BOA
42%
26%
33%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
FLU
3 - 0
AUD
89%
9%
2%
|
46 | 87 | 41 | 0 |