Nova Iguaçu vs Americano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+88%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
MAC
2 - 0
NOV
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
NOV
2 - 0
FRI
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
MAC
0 - 4
NOV
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
AME
0 - 1
NOV
57%
23%
21%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 0
GOY
45%
27%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
AME
0 - 0
AME
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
POR
2 - 0
AME
37%
27%
35%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2019 |
AME
2 - 1
ADC
75%
15%
10%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2019 |
ADC
1 - 0
AME
11%
19%
70%
|
46 | 18 | 28 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
AME
2 - 2
BOT
11%
20%
70%
|
46 | 79 | 33 | 0 |