Notts County vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
NOT
2 - 1
ALT
69%
18%
13%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
NOT
4 - 1
SOU
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
NOT
2 - 1
DAG
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
BOR
1 - 1
NOT
40%
27%
34%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
EAS
2 - 0
NOT
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2021 |
ALT
0 - 2
WRE
23%
23%
54%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
WRE
5 - 0
GLO
53%
25%
23%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
WRE
1 - 0
WEY
64%
22%
14%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
DOV
0 - 1
WRE
14%
21%
65%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
WRE
0 - 2
YEO
45%
28%
27%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |