FA Cup 1/32
Global 2-3
Notts County vs Wimbledon FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
41.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2001 |
NOT
4 - 1
ROT
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2001 |
CAM
2 - 2
NOT
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2001 |
WIM
2 - 2
NOT
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2001 |
NOT
2 - 2
STO
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2000 |
MIL
2 - 3
NOT
62%
23%
16%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Wimbledon FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2001 |
OPA
2 - 1
WIM
30%
26%
44%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2001 |
WIM
3 - 1
PNE
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2001 |
WIM
2 - 2
NOT
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2001 |
WAT
3 - 1
WIM
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2000 |
WIM
1 - 1
OPA
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |