EFL Cup 1/32
Global 3-3
Notts County vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
44%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
NOR
1 - 0
NOT
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2000 |
NOT
0 - 1
SWA
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
NOT
1 - 1
BRO
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2000 |
NOT
2 - 0
HUL
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
OLD
0 - 1
NOT
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
WAT
3 - 0
CRE
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2000 |
BBU
3 - 4
WAT
62%
21%
16%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
OPA
1 - 3
WAT
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2000 |
CHE
0 - 3
WAT
32%
26%
43%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2000 |
WAT
4 - 1
SHE
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |