Notts County vs Walsall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
32.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
POS
4 - 3
NOT
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
STE
0 - 1
NOT
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
NOT
2 - 1
SHE
37%
28%
35%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2014 |
NOT
3 - 0
BRA
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
CRA
1 - 0
NOT
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
WAL
1 - 1
BRE
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
WAL
1 - 0
OLD
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
TRA
1 - 1
WAL
33%
29%
39%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2014 |
WAL
2 - 1
SHE
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
GIL
2 - 2
WAL
37%
29%
34%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |