Notts County vs Torquay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
20%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
STA
1 - 2
NOT
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
NOT
1 - 2
CHE
48%
27%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
SWI
1 - 1
NOT
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
STO
2 - 0
NOT
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
NOT
0 - 1
HER
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Torquay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
GUL
2 - 2
BCF
31%
28%
41%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
GUL
0 - 2
SOU
10%
18%
72%
|
46 | 78 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
BRO
1 - 0
GUL
57%
25%
18%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
GUL
0 - 1
MAC
36%
28%
36%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
GUL
0 - 2
MKD
29%
27%
44%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |