Notts County vs Sutton United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
NOR
3 - 1
NOT
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2019 |
NOT
2 - 2
BOR
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
ALD
2 - 1
NOT
18%
22%
61%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
NOT
0 - 3
BAR
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
EBB
2 - 3
NOT
27%
23%
50%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sutton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
SUT
3 - 1
TOW
20%
22%
58%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2019 |
DAG
1 - 2
SUT
64%
21%
16%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
SUT
0 - 2
BRO
18%
22%
60%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
GUL
1 - 2
SUT
82%
13%
5%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 0
SUT
72%
18%
10%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |