Notts County vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
20.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1993 |
NOT
1 - 2
MIL
48%
26%
25%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1992 |
NOT
1 - 1
BRE
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1992 |
OPA
0 - 0
NOT
61%
23%
17%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1992 |
NOT
1 - 0
CAM
52%
25%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1992 |
NOT
0 - 2
NEW
44%
26%
31%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1993 |
SUN
3 - 3
CAM
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1992 |
SUN
2 - 0
GRI
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1992 |
LUT
0 - 0
SUN
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1992 |
SUN
1 - 3
BRE
55%
25%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1992 |
SUN
2 - 1
BAR
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |