Notts County vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
42%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1919 |
SUN
3 - 1
NOT
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1919 |
NOT
2 - 0
WBA
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1919 |
WBA
8 - 0
NOT
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1919 |
NOT
2 - 2
DER
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1919 |
DER
3 - 1
NOT
61%
22%
18%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1919 |
SUN
3 - 1
NOT
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1919 |
BOL
1 - 0
SUN
42%
23%
35%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1919 |
SUN
2 - 0
BOL
63%
19%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1919 |
BRA
2 - 0
SUN
36%
24%
39%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1919 |
SUN
2 - 0
BRA
70%
18%
13%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |